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The Bucs have improved on the defensive side of the ball. The y have faced some meancing offenses this season including Dallas, Philly, New England, Green Bay and New Orleans. Tampa allowed 33.6 points per game vs. these powerhouses. But, against more mediocre offenses including the Giants, Washington, Buffalo, Carolina, Miami, Atlanta and the Jets, Tampa Bay has given up a very respectable 23.5 points per game. Seattle’s resume is similar. Versus high-powered offenses Indianapolis, Arizona, Dallas, Minnesota and Houston, they allowed 33.2 points per game. But against all others, they have allowed just just 14.5 points per game! So we offenses that average 14.6 and 19.2 points per game. And, we have defenses that have given up 23.5 and 14.5 per game vs. comparable offenses. The Bucs have played UNDER to a 50-22 mark the last 72 times following a game where they failed to top the 150-yard mark in passing. The history of these clubs shows that the UNDER is the way to go as their last six meetings resulted in UNDERs.

Arizona Cardinals vs. Detroit Lions Week 15 NFL Picks

1* on Arizona Cardinals -12

Arizona would find it hard to get motivated to play the Detroit Lions most weeks, but that won’t be the case this Sunday as they look to make amends from their embarrassing 9-24 road loss to the 49ers on Monday Night Football last week. In that game they were sloppy, turning the ball over 7 times. Arizona will be sharp in practice this week and learn from their mistakes, and they’ll go into Detroit and put it on a Lions’ team that is coming off a 3-48 loss at Baltimore last week. Detroit isn’t competitive with QB Matthew Stafford watching from the sidelines, and Stafford is doubtful to play which leaves Daunte Culpepper to run the show. Bad new for Detroit.

Culpepper is completing just 53% of his passes, averaging a mere 5.74 yards/attempt, and has thrown just 1 touchdown to 4 interceptions this season. The Lions have lost by double-digits in 3 straight games, and for the season they are getting outscored by 15.1 points/game. The Lions are just 3-12 ATS in their last 18 home games overall. Arizona 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams – allowing >=350 yards/game over the last 3 seasons. After playing a hard-nosed 49ers’ defense that made nothing easy on the Cardinals, look for Arizona to be near-perfect offensively this week against a Lions’ defense that is allowing 31.2 points/game this year. The Lions are just stumbling to the finish line, and Detroit is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Take Arizona and lay the points.

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