The state of Florida looks to reclaim more of its old glory in the college football landscape this weekend, when the Florida State Seminoles travel to the U to play the Miami Hurricanes. Miami is in the midst of a two game losing streak, and nothing would cure what ails them like a huge home win over a highly ranked squad from Florida State. Here’s a rundown of what to expect this weekend when the Seminoles meet the Hurricanes.
As mentioned, Miami has lost its last two games. They got absolutely destroyed against Notre Dame two weeks ago, in an embarrassing home loss. Then they hosted North Carolina, and lost a tight game. They certainly can’t afford to lose a third straight game at home, and a loss would move them to just 4-4 on the season.
The problem for Miami has certainly been on the defensive side of the ball. They rank a very poor 96th in the country in points allowed per game, at 32.3. Meanwhile, the offense is completely mediocre, ranked 63rd of 120 schools, with just 27.9 points scored per game. Yes, that means that on aggregate they are being outscored by five points per game, despite the as of now winning record. You can thank Notre Dame and a 41-3 blowout for that.
Meanwhile, Florida State has been thriving on both ends of the football. They rank 6th in the country, scoring 46 points per game, which is something most people wouldn’t have predicted. They would have predicted the strong and tough defense though, which surrenders just 11.6 points per game, 4th best in the country.
With a 6-1 record and a number 12 ranking, and strong performances against Clemson and South Florida , they entirely dropped the ball, no pun intended, with a loss on the road against NC State a few weekends ago. Without that setback, they’d likely be in the top 3 in the nation right now, and would be sitting pretty in terms of controlling their own BCS destiny. That’s not the case now, although they still can make up major lost ground with games against Virginia Tech and Florida still to come, before potentially the ACC Championship game.
According to the odds makers, the Seminoles are a massive 21 point favorite on the road against Miami. That in and of itself has to be embarrassing for the Hurricanes, but nevertheless, it’s entirely warranted given where these two squads are right now. The over/under has been set at 57 points.
Two years ago, FSU went to Miami and won 45-17. Of course a similar performance here, and they are much larger favorites in this game, would see them cover the spread. However, don’t be surprised to see Miami keep this one a bit closer. Florida State will win this game and cruise throughout, but take Miami and the points, as they avoid a complete blowout and try to keep things respectable, as opposed to their showing against the Irish.