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Free NFL Picks Week 11: Baltimore Ravens vs Green Bay Packers Predictions 11/19/17

The Baltimore Ravens will be playing the Green Bay Packers at home at Lambeau Field this Sunday afternoon at 1:00 PM EST. The lines opened with the Ravens being the favorites to win and a spread of 2.5 points while the posted total was 38 points. Since then, the spread has dropped to 2 points but the posted total remained the same. The betting is favoring Baltimore to cover the spread too, with 52% backing them and 48% against.

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The Ravens are 4-1-2 ATS in their last 7 November games, 3-8-1 in their last 12 road games, 7-3 in their last 10 games following a bye-week, 6-15-2 in their last 23 games following a loss, and 8-3-2 in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Their O/U trends are 5-0 in their last 5 games overall, 4-0 in their last 4 road games and games on grass, 6-1 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning record, 5-1 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss, and 2-7 in their last 9 November games. They also stand 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Packers. Green Bay is 2-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 10-4 in their last 14 games following a win, 3-8 in their last 11 November games, and 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Their O/U trends are 7-0 in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing record, 10-2 in their last 12 games following a win, 5-1 in their last 6 games on the grass and in November, 8-2 in their last 10 games following an ATS win, and 17-5 in their last 22 games overall.

Baltimore falls beneath .500 after losing 23-20 to the Titans two weeks earlier and dropping to 4-5. In that game, Joe Flacco went 34-52 for 261 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions and the team outgained the Titans 341-257 total yards, had more 1st downs with 24 conversions to Tennessee’s 14, and had more ball possession with 32:22 on the clock. Green Bay manages to break their losing streak last week by once again beating the Bears 23-16 to climb above .500 and go 5-4. Brett Hundley went 18-25 for 212 yards and a score while outgaining the Bears 342-323 total yards, had more 1st downs with 18 conversions to Chicago’s 14, and had more possession time with 33:53 on the ball.

Our Free NFL Prediction: Green Bay made their first win without Aaron Rodgers to end their losing streak last week although this week might be more difficult for them. For starters, their leading RB Aaron Jones is doubtful to play while their other RB, Ty Montgomery, is questionable. They are also going to be missing OT Bryan Bulaga, DT Quinton Dial, and safety Morgan Burnett. The Ravens loss was by a small margin but it was mainly because they failed to capitalize on drives which allowed the Titans to steal it. Coming into this game, the Packers might have the home-field advantage and will definitely be fighting to stay in the league for playoffs but I’m not sure they’ll be winning this; especially against the Ravens’ defence which is pretty solid. Take the Ravens to cover.

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