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Free NFL Picks Week 11: Washington Redskins vs New Orleans Saints Predictions 11/19/17

The Washington Redskins will be heading to the New Orleans’ Mercedes-Benz Superdome to play the New Orleans Saints at 1:00 PM EST this Sunday. The lines opened with a game total of 49.5 points, which has since changed to 51 points, and a 7.5 point spread for the Saints to cover, which has remained the same. The betting is swaying in favor of New Orleans to cover the spread with 63% backing them and 37% against.

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The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on field-turf and in November, 11-4 in their last 15 road games, 9-4 in their last 13 games following a loss and an ATS loss, 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. NFC, and 1-5 in their last 6 games overall. Their O/U is 23-7 in their last 30 games overall, 13-3 in their last 16 road games and their last 16 games following a loss, 10-1 in their last 11 games following an ATS loss, and 21-7 in their last 28 games vs. NFC. They also stand 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Saints. New Orleans, on the other hand, is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 November games, 4-1 in their last 5 home games, 20-7-1 in their last 28 games vs. NFC, 20-7 in their last 27 games overall, and 5-2 in their last 7 Week 11 games and games on field-turf. Their O/U is 5-2 in their last 7 games on field-turf, 3-15 in their last 18 Week 11 games, 12-5-1 in their last 18 home games, and 11-3 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing record. The two teams also share an O/U of 4-0 in their last 4 meetings.

Washington falls beneath .500 after losing 38-30 to the Vikings last Sunday, knocking them down to 4-5. Kirk Cousins completed 26 of 45 throws for 327 yards for a score and a pick although they were outgained 406-394 total yards. They did, however, make more 1st down conversions with their 24 to Minnesota’s 21 and had more time on possession with 31:06. The Saints’ win streak continues as they go 7-2 after beating Buffalo 47-10 last Sunday. Drew Brees made 18 of 25 throws for 184 yards while the team outgained the Bills 482-198 total yards, dominated on possession time with 41:23, and also dominated with 32 first downs to the Bills’ 10.

Our Free NFL Pick: Brees might have had a mellow game last Sunday but the Saints themselves were on fire with an amazing run game against a very weak Bills’ defence. Coming into this game, I expect they will be looking to keep their win streak going and dominate here as well despite the Redskins have seen more success against the Saints in their rivalry. Right now, the Redskins are in a bad spot as they have to win this game to keep their playoffs dreams alive which adds a lot of pressure to this game but their defence has been weak while the Saints offence has been strong so I think this is where it ends for them. Take New Orleans to cover.


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