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Free NFL Picks Week 11: Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cleveland Browns Predictions 11/19/17

The Jacksonville Jaguars will be heading to the FirstEnergy Stadium to play against the Cleveland Browns at 1:00 PM EST this Sunday. The lines opened with a 7 point spread for the Jaguars to cover and a 38 point posted total but since then, the spread has climbed to 7.5 points while the posted total has dropped to 37.5 points. The betting is favoring the Jaguars to cover with 63% backing them and 37% against.

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The Jaguars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss, 6-1 in their last 7 road games, 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. AFC, and 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win. Their O/U is 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. AFC, 1-4 in their last 5 games overall and games on the road, and 8-2 in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 rushing yards in the previous game. The Browns are 5-12 ATS in their last 18 games on the grass, 7-18-1 in their last 26 games vs. AFC, 6-20 in their last 26 games following an ATS loss, 6-26 in their last 32 games following a loss, and 5-20-1 in their last 26 games overall. Their O/U is 2-5 in their last 7 games vs. AFC, 1-4 in their last 5 Week 11 games and their last 5 games in November, 0-4 in their last 4 games on the grass, 3-13 in their last 16 home games, and 4-9 in their last 13 games following an ATS loss. They also stand 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Jaguars.

Jacksonville improved to 6-3 after beating the Chargers 20-17 in overtime last Sunday. Blake Bortles completed 28 of 51 passes for 273 yards, a touchdown, and 2 picks in the game while leading the Jaguars to score 25.1 points and 377.4 yards per game. Their defence, on the other hand, is holding foes to 14.9 points and 310.1 yards per game. The Browns remain winless and go 0-9 after losing 38-24 to the Lions last week with DeShone Kizer going 21-37 for 232 yards, a touchdown, and a pick. The team is scoring 15.9 points and 331.2 yards per game while the defence is allowing 26.7 points and 329.1 yards per game.

Our Free NFL Prediction: The Jaguars defence has been their strongest feature this year and it has been pulling through all season long. Last Sunday was a bit shaky for them but they managed to get the win there regardless. In this matchup, with Kizer still not being that great at QB and the Browns’ weak offence, Jacksonville’s defence is sure to look formidable. Bortles isn’t the greatest but he shouldn’t have any problems scoring against the Browns who have yet to get a single win. Take the Jaguars to cover.


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