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Free NFL Picks Week 11: Kansas City Chiefs vs N.Y. Giants Predictions 11/19/17

The Kansas City Chiefs and the N.Y. Giants will be heading to the MetLife Stadium to face off this Sunday with kickoff set for 1:00 PM EST. The lines opened with a 13 point spread for the Chiefs to cover and a 44 point game total. Since then, the spread has dropped to 10.5 points and the game total has dropped to 43 points. The betting is going heavily in favor of the Chiefs to cover with 72% of the bets backing them and 28% against.

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The Chiefs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games, 11-5 in their last 16 games overall, 7-1 in their last 8 games following an ATS loss, 6-1 in their last 7 games following a loss, and 4-1 in their last 5 games on field-turf. Their O/U is 07-1 in their last 8 games following a bye-week, 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record, 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss, 6-2 in their last 8 road games, and 5-17 in their last 22 Week 11 games. They also stand 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Giants. On the other side, the Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and vs. a team with a winning record, 0-4 in their last 4 home games, 0-5 in their last 5 games on field-turf, and 1-4 in their last 5 games overall. Their O/U is 0-5 in their last 5 Week 11 games, 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss, 2-6 in their last 8 home games, 5-2 in their last 7 games overall, and 3-7 in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. The two also share an O/U of 0-5-1 in their last 6 meetings.

The Chiefs drop to 6-3 after losing to the Cowboys 28-17 two weeks earlier. In that game, Alex Smith connected on 25 of 34 passes for 263 yards, 2 touchdowns, and a pick while all season long, the team has been scoring 28.1 points and 388.2 yards per game while allowing 23.1 points and 401.6 yards per game. The Giants lost their last game against the 49ers 21-31 and continue their losing streak 1-8. Eli Manning completed 28 of 37 passes for 273 yards and 2 touchdowns in that game while the team has been averaging 16.7 points and 322.3 yards per game on the offence and allowing 26.4 points and 408.4 yards per game on the defence.

Our Free NFL Pick: With the Giants’ loss last Sunday, we can pretty much officially write them off now. Their loss to the 49ers doesn’t end their season chances for the playoffs or anything – since those ended quite some time ago – but it does make it abundantly clear just where the team stands whenever they do not have Odell Beckham Jr. playing. Even if the Chiefs have been staggering a bit ever since their loss to the Steelers, there’s no way imaginable that they’re losing to the Giants who gave the 49ers their first win of the season. Take the Chiefs to cover.


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