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Free NFL Picks: New England Patriots vs Oakland Raiders Predictions 11/19/17

The New England Patriots and Oakland Raiders go to Estadio Azteca in Mexico City this Sunday evening at 4:25 PM EST. The lines opened with a 5 point spread for the Patriots to cover and a 50 point game total. Since then, that spread has increased to 6.5 points and the game total has climbed to 52 points. The betting is favoring the Patriots to cover the spread with 67% backing them and 33% against.

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The Patriots are 5-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 9-2 in their last 11 games following an ATS win, 11-3 in their last 14 games following a win, 12-4 in their last 16 vs. AFC, and 21-7 in their last 28 games overall. Their O/U is 1-4 in their last 5 games overall, 2-9 in their last 11 games on the grass, 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. AFC and in their last 8 games following an ATS win, and 7-3 in their last 10 games following a win. They also stand 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with the Raiders. Oakland is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye-week, 1-4-1 in their last 6 games vs. AFC and on the grass, 1-5-1 in their last 7 games overall, and 1-3-1 in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Their O/U is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall, vs. AFC, and vs. a team with a winning record, 20-7-1 in their last 28 games following a win, and 20-5-3 in their last 28 November games.

The Broncos go 7-2 after beating Denver 41-16 last Sunday. Brady completed 25 of 34 passes for 266 yards and 3 scores while Dion Lewis made 55 yards and a score on 14 carries and Rob Gronkowski made 4 receptions for 74 yards. The Raiders won their last game against the Dolphins two weeks earlier 27-24 but remains under .500 although it puts them 4-5. In that game, Derek Carr went 21-30 for 300 yards, a score, and a pick while Marshawn Lynch led the ground-game with 14 carries for 57 yards and 2 scores and Jared Cook led the receivers with 8 receptions for 126 yards.

Our Free NFL Prediction: The Raiders have been looking pretty shaky ever since Carr was injured earlier in the season and even after he returned. When they are playing well, however, they are quite a strong force and could even rival the Patriots’ offence. That being said, if they do perform, it will be quite a close and exciting match. The Patriots also have quite a bit of injuries as well while the Raiders are looking decent; not to mention, they will have to win here if they want to keep their playoff dreams alive which is always a great motivator. I say take the Raiders.


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