The San Francisco 49ers will be facing off the Houston Texans at home in the NRG Stadium next Sunday at 1:00 PM EST. The lines opened with a 1.5 point spread for the Texans to cover, which has since doubled to 3 points; and a posted total of 43 points, which has remained the same. The betting is going heavily in favor of Houston to cover that spread with 64% backing them and 36% against them, in favor of the 49ers instead.
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The 49ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record, 5-2 in their last 7 road games, 3-7 in their last 10 games following an ATS win, 2-7 in their last 9 games following a win, 1-5 in their last 6 games on field-turf, and 0-4 in their last 4 Week 14 games. Their O/U trends are 0-4 in their last 4 Week 14 games, 6-1 in their last 7 games on field-turf, 1-4 in their last 5 overall games, and 4-9 in their last 13 games following a win.
The Houston Texans are 4-1 in their last 5 games on field-turf, 1-4 in their last 5 December games, 8-2 in their last 10 games after allowing more than 150 passing yards in the previous game, and 35-17-1 in their last 53 games after scoring less than 15 points in the previous game. Their O/U trends are 1-4 in their last 5 overall games, 4-1 in their last 5 home games, 3-9 in their last 12 games following an ATS loss, 4-9 in their last 13 games following a loss, 8-20 in their last 28 December games, and 6-2 in their last 8 games on field-turf.
The 49ers won their last game 15-14 against the Chicago Bears to get their 2nd win of the season and go 2-10. Jimmy Garoppolo completed 26 of 37 pass attempts for 293 yards and a pick while Carlos Hyde led the ground with 17 carries for 54 yards and Marquise Goodwin led the receivers with 8 receptions for 99 yards. The Texans go on a 2-game skid after losing 24-13 to the Tennessee Titans last Sunday and fall to 4-8. Tom Savage completed 31 of 49 passes for 365 yards, a score, and a pick while Lamar Miller led the ground with 15 rushes for 56 yards and DeAndre Hopkins led the receivers with 8 catches for 80 yards.
Our Free NFL Prediction: It’s very likely for the 49ers to be starting with Garoppolo in this game once again and despite it was mainly thanks to a field-goal kicked by Robbie Gould that won them their last game in the final seconds, it was thanks to Garoppolo that it was an easy 24-yard attempt. They also looked strong on 3rd down conversions but they suffered a lot of penalties that cost them 53 yards. The Texans, on the other hand, have been hurting a lot with Deshaun Watson and walked away from their last game with more injuries than they went in. Sure, Savage has definitely improved here when compared to earlier games but they definitely need to improve at making 3rd down conversions while Savage needs to stop causing turnovers. The single interception he had came at the crucial moment with 1:02 left on the clock that was meant for DeAndre Hopkins in the end-zone. Instead; the pass found LeShaun Sims which then led to the Titans scoring another touchdown on the final drive and winning. All things considered from last Saturday, I’ve no doubt that Savage is feeling pressured after that costly interception and with WR Will Fuller V. questionable to play, I’m more tempted to take my chances with the 49ers here.