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Free NFL Picks: Atlanta Falcons vs L.A. Rams Predictions 01/06/2018

The Atlanta Falcons will be headed to the Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to face the L.A. Rams at home in the NFC Wild Card playoff this Saturday at 8:15 PM EST. The lines opened with a 4.5 point spread for the Rams to cover, which has since changed to 6.5 points; and a 49.5 point game total, which has since changed to 48.5 points. The bettors are going in support of the Rams covering that spread at the moment with 46% against them in favor of Atlanta, and 54% in support of them.

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The Falcons are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games vs. NFC, 2-5 in their last 7 January games, and 0-4 in their last 4 playoff road games. Their O/U trends are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff games, 0-5 in their last 5 games overall, and 8-1-1 in their last 10 Saturday games. They also stand 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 following a loss, 0-4 in their last 4 Saturday games, and 4-10-1 in their last 15 home games. Their O/U trends are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. NFC, 4-1 in their last 5 playoff home games, and 6-2 in their last 8 Saturday games. The two also share an O/U trend of 5-2 in their last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

Atlanta won their game against Carolina against Carolina last Monday 22-10 to win their spot in the playoffs. Matt Ryan completed 28 of 45 passes for 317 yards and a score while Devonta Freeman led the ground with 11 carries for 23 yards and he also led the receivers with 9 receptions for 85 yards and a score. The Rams lost their last game 34-13 against the 49ers with Sean Mannion going 20-34 for 169 yards. Malcolm Brown made 14 carries for 54 yards and Michael Thomas made 3 receptions for 75 yards.

Our Free NFL Pick: Don’t think too much about the Rams’ lost last Monday. That was with a team without many of their starters in that game while Jimmy Garoppolo has been playing with a lot to prove as a new QB for the 49ers. On the other hand, the Falcons’ victory did indeed secure them a spot in the playoffs, they were actually certain to make the spot as Seattle lost their game to Arizona, who they were battling against for the spot. Sure, Freeman and Ryan played good last Monday but against a full team of rested starters at the Rams? Not very likely. Take the Rams to cover.


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