The Buffalo Bills will be taking on the Jacksonville Jaguars at the EverBank Field on this coming Sunday at 1:05 PM EST. The lines opened with a 7.5 point spread for the Jaguars to cover, which has since climbed to 9 points; and a 40 point game total, which has since dropped by half a point. The betting is going against Jacksonville covering that spread with 53% of the bettors siding with the Bills and 47% backing the Jaguars.
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The Bills are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games on the grass, 0-4 in their last 4 playoff games, and 2-7 in their last 9 January games. Their O/U trends are 1-4 in their last 5 games on the grass, 4-1 in their last 5 games following a win, and 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record. They also stand 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Jacksonville with the Jaguars.
The Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss, 6-2 in their last 8 games vs. AFC, and 5-2 vs. a team with a winning record. Their O/U trends are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. AFC, 0-4 in their last 4 games following a loss, and 10-4 in their last 14 home games. The two also share an O/U trend of 5-0 in their last 5 meetings.
The Bills won against Miami last Monday 22-16 but it was thanks to the Ravens’ lost that they managed to make it into the playoffs this year. In their last game, Tyrod Taylor completed 19 of 27 passes for 204 yards and a score while Marcus Murphy led the ground with 7 carries for 41 yards and Charles Clay led the receivers with 6 catches for 64 yards. Jacksonville lost their last game 15-10 to the Titans with Blake Bortles going 15-34 for 158 yards and 2 picks. Leonard Fournette led the ground with 19 carries for 69 yards and led the receivers with 4 receptions for 67 yards.
Our Free NFL Prediction: The Bills being here is purely by luck thanks to the Ravens’ lost last Monday and while I do like Taylor and look forward to seeing what he can do, I’m not sure it will be enough here. The Jaguars victories have all been thanks to their defense and if they bring a strong defence here into this game, I don’t know how Taylor and Clay are supposed to topple it. Admittedly, DT Arby Jones will be out for this game for the Jaguars along with WR Marqise Lee but I’m still going to say that Jaguars can cover this spread.