The Philadelphia Eagles will be taking on the New England Patriots for Super Bowl LII on February 4th in the U.S. Bank Stadium at 6:30 AM EST. The lines opened with a 5.5 point spread for the New England Patriots to cover and a posted total of 48 points. Since then, the spread has dropped to 5 points flat but the posted total remains unchanged. The bettors are going against the veterans in this Super Bowl with 65% of them backing the Eagles and 35% for the New England Patriots.
Need Winners Against the Spread? Get $60 in FREE member football picks from Doc’s Sports Service, one of the most trusted names in handicapping! No salesmen and no obligations! Click Here.
The Eagles are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall, 2-7 in their last 9 games on field-turf, and 8-2 in their last 10 games following an ATS win. Their O/U trends are 10-3 in their last 13 games on field-turf, 4-10-1 in their last 15 playoff games, and 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win. They also stand 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings with the Patriots.
New England is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 playoff games, 6-2 in their last 7 games on field-turf, and 35-16-2 in their last 53 games following a win. Their O/U trends are 8-2 in their last 10 playoff games, 4-10 in their last 14 games overall, and 67-33 in their last 100 games on field-turf. The two teams also share an O/U trend of 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against each other.
The Eagles completely dominated the Vikings last Sunday 38-7 and won the NFC Championship in what looked to be quite a dominating display of power on both the defence and offence. Nick Foles completed 26 of 33 passes for 352 yards and 3 touchdowns while Jay Ajayi led the ground with 18 rushes for 73 yards and Zach Ertz was the star receiver with 8 receptions for 93 yards. The Patriots won the AFC Championship 24-20 with a late-game comeback victory over Jacksonville. Tom Brady completed 26 of 38 successful passes for 290 yards and 2 scores while Dion Lewis led the ground with 9 carries for 34 yards and Brandin Cooks led the receivers with 6 catches for 100 yards.
Our Free Super Bowl LII Pick: I expected the Eagles to come out on top of this game however, I was not expecting the difference to be so huge. The Vikings’ defence was not performing their usual best, a team which picked off the ever so accurate Drew Brees twice in one quarter. I expected Case Keenum to struggle against the Eagles’ pass-rush, which he definitely crumbled under, but I also expected Minnesota’s corners to make Foles look very green. Instead, Foles looked more amazing than ever before, like a 1st string QB with an amazing 53-yard touchdown pass to Alshon Jeffery and a 41-yard touchdown pass to Torrey Smith. He even connected with 7 different receivers in that entire game and looked strong all-around despite taking a heavy tackle during the game that left him slow to recover. For the most part, coming into this game as underdogs, Foles looks great and says he feels fine after some precautionary x-rays after Minnesota. On the other hand, the Patriots looked doomed in the early half of the game trailing behind 14-10 against the Jaguars’ tough defence. Rob Gronkowski also took a helmet hit and suffered a concussion during the game against this physical defence and had to leave the game, so he’s questionable to play in this Super Bowl. Following an uneventful 3rd quarter, Brady stepped up in a big way in the final quarter to secure the 4 point lead, even getting a little creative in some of the late game plays for some trickery against Jacksonville’s defence. In the final moments however, Blake Bortles threw a pass that would’ve secured their victory but Stephon Gilmore made a huge pass-block and stopped the pass with a game-winning save for the Patriots. With Gronkowski questionable for this game, it means the Eagles will have a huge advantage when on defence, not having to worry about the massive giant. If Philadelphia’s defence keeps doing their job and Foles keeps looking this great too, I can see them taking this Super Bowl. I say take the Eagles.